October 2, 2019 / 3:54 AM / 22 days ago

《汇市简讯》澳洲央行上日降息后尘埃落定,澳元/美元压力仍沉重

0330GMT

* 上涨0.2%,在0.6699/0.6717区间交投,受低接买盘与出口商影响

* 澳元/日圆上涨0.25%,日股日经指数跌0.7%,除日本外亚股跌0.7%,不过E-迷你标普500指数期货涨0.2%

* 隔夜利率交换(overnight index swap, OIS)市场显示,预期澳洲央行12月降息25个基点的机率为68.84%,周二尾盘则为61.8%

* 要收在0.6672下方,方能确认昨日强烈偏空的外包日线

* 5、10与21日均线、周均线与月均线皆向下,格局偏空

* 支撑位在纽约盘的十年低位0.6672,接着就直接来到2001/2011涨势76.4%回档位的0.6263

* 昨日跌势的50%回档位0.6724为阻力位,接下来则是61.8%回档位0.6736以及之前区间低点0.6739

完 编译 陈宗琦;审校 张明钧

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